MEDIATION output (D2.3)
Overview on selected output from MEDIATION
Select deliverable number:
D2.3: ADAPTATION TURNING POINTS: Identification of impact thresholds, key risk factors and potential adaptive responses
There is a high demand for concepts and tools to assess and communicate the implications of climate change for decision-making. Concerned citizens increasingly pose questions as to whether current management practices are able to cope with climate change and increased climate variability or whether alternative strategies are needed. This study aims to contribute to the debate on adaptation to climate change by focussing on the specific situation where, due to climate change, current management will no longer be able to meet its objectives and alternative strategies have to be considered. We call this situation an ‘adaptation turning point’. The deliverable will explore adaptation turning points as a concept for assessing and communicating the implications of climate change. It will strengthen the theoretical basis (how to define, identify and quantify adaptation turning points), case evidence of adaptation turning points, and determine alternative adaptation pathways for dealing with or exploiting turning points. Thus the deliverable hopes to contribute to the ongoing debate on adaptation dynamics and to support a community that actively seeks to realise adaptation in socio-ecological systems.
The work employs a combination of theory development and synthesis, having a strong focus on practical assessment in the fertile case study base of MEDIATION. The outcome of the work undertaken for this deliverable aims to be:
A classification of salient adaptation turning points in selected (MEDIATION) cases
A general methodology to explore adaptation turning points, adding to our understanding of structural properties and mechanisms that make socio-ecological systems robust or receptive to external shocks, i.e. sustainable in the face of uncertainty and change
The deliverable reports on the result achieved in the MEDIATION Project so far with respect to adaptation turning points. It also outlines the next steps that will be taken in the coming and final year of the MEDIATION Project.